Teacher supply and demand

Working papers

  • A.  

    Projections of Educators by Age and Average Cost to 2070. (Draft Report)

    (M. Gustafsson, 2022). The associated Excel model is available here.

  • F.  

    Projections of Educators by Age and Average Cost to 2070. (Final Report)

    (M. Gustafsson, 2023). The associated Excel model is available here.

    To see a video which explains key points of the report, click here. The video script is available here.

  • G.  

    Provincial Educator Demand Projections for South Africa, 2021-2030

    (B. Böhmer & M. Gustafsson, 2023).

Research notes

  • Note 1:

    How many teachers will retire by 2030?

    (S. van der Berg & M. Gustafsson, 2022).

  • Note 2:

    Teacher production, class size & learner population growth

    (N. Spaull, 2022).

  • Note 3:

    To what extent are provinces freezing HOD and Deputy Principal posts?

    (N. Spaull & P. Ntaka, 2022).

  • Note 4:

    Are provinces hiring the additional teachers universities produce?

    (P. Ntaka, 2022).

  • Note 5:

    Which universities produce the most teachers who enter public schools?

    (N. Spaull & P. Ntaka, 2022).

  • Note 6:

    How many teachers are universities producing?

    (B. Böhmer & I. Pampallis, 2022).

  • Synthesis Note 1:

    Can we address the problem of large class sizes through more (and better) teachers?

    Making sense of the Teacher Demographic Dividend Project, Part 1 (2024).

Presentations

Public expenditure on education

Research notes

Presentations

  • Basic Education Spending and Budget Trends: A 10 Year Overview

    (9 May 2024)

    Presented by S. Janari (National Treasury) at the TDD Fiscal Workshop series.

  • Basic education spending and costs: The learner-educator ratio and related resourcing issues

    (May 2024)

    Presented by M. Gustafsson (University of Stellenbosch & Department of Basic Education) at the TDD Fiscal Workshop series.

  • Budget 2024: Navigating the fiscal adjustment path

    (April 2024)

    Presented by S. Keller (JPMorgan Chase) at the TDD Fiscal Workshop series.

  • Trends in early childhood development funding

    (25 April 2024)

    Presented by Z. Mohamed & D. McLaren (Ilifa Labantwana) at the TDD Fiscal Workshop series.

  • Education, growth, development: A long run perspective

    (10 April 2024)

    Presented by A. R. Donaldson (SALDRU) at the TDD Fiscal Workshop series.

  • The Higher Education Budget

    (24 April 2024)

    Presented by T. Lewin (University of Johannesburg) & D. Parker (University of Pretoria) at the TDD Fiscal Workshop series.

  • Moving the dial on learning outcomes? The Presidential Employment Stimulus

    (9 May 2024)

    Presented by K. Philip at the TDD Fiscal Workshop series.

  • (Thinking about) prioritising education spending (or, Escaping the human capital trap)

    (25 April 2024)

    Presented by J. Kruger at the TDD Fiscal Workshop series.

Recruitment, remuneration & working conditions

Working papers

  • B.  

    The Teacher Labour Market and Pay: How does it compare to other professions?

    (D. Shepherd, 2022a).

  • C.  

    Teachers’ level of education and employment over the last two decades: What can be learnt from labour force survey data?

    (D. Shepherd, 2022b).

  • E.  

    South African teacher shortages as revealed through class sizes and learner-educator ratios: An exploratory analysis.

    (G. Wills, 2023).

  • I.  

    “An overall pattern of dissatisfaction”? Interviews with primary school teachers on motivation, experience and recruitment

    (J. Kruger, D. Hompashe & L. Swelindawo, 2024).

Research notes

  • Note 3:

    To what extent are provinces freezing HOD and Deputy Principal posts?

    (N. Spaull & P. Ntaka, 2022).

  • Note 7:

    What do teachers earn?

    (I. Pampallis, 2022).

  • Note 8:

    Where do teachers fall relative to others in the labour market?

    (D. Shepherd & N. Spaull, 2022).

  • Note 12:

    Male managers, female teachers: Gender imbalances in school leadership and management

    (G. Wills & B. Böhmer, 2023).

  • Synthesis Note 1:

    Can we address the problem of large class sizes through more (and better) teachers?

    Making sense of the Teacher Demographic Dividend Project, Part 1 (2024).

Teacher Training

Working papers

  • C.  

    Teachers’ level of education and employment over the last two decades: What can be learnt from labour force survey data?

    (D. Shepherd, 2022b).

  • D.  

    The Quality of Primary Mathematics Teacher Preparation in South Africa: Findings from PrimTEd.

    (N. Roberts & Q. Moloi, 2022).

Research notes

  • Note 4:

    Are provinces hiring the additional teachers universities produce?

    (P. Ntaka, 2022).

  • Note 5:

    Which universities produce the most teachers who enter public schools?

    (N. Spaull & P. Ntaka, 2022).

  • Note 6:

    How many teachers are universities producing?

    (B. Böhmer & I. Pampallis, 2022).

  • Note 9:

    What are the matric marks of those entering ITE programmes?

    (I. Pampallis, 2022).

  • Note 10:

    What are the levels of in-service teacher knowledge?

    (N. Spaull & P. Courtney, 2022).

  • Note 11:

    The quality of primary mathematics teacher preparation in SA

    (N. Roberts & Q. Moloi, 2022).

  • Synthesis Note 1:

    Can we address the problem of large class sizes through more (and better) teachers?

    Making sense of the Teacher Demographic Dividend Project, Part 1 (2024).

Special Topics

Working papers

  • H.  

    Who and How Matters: Using situated expectancy value theory to explore the mathematics performance of Grade 9 learners in South Africa

    (M. G. Takalani & D. L. Shepherd, 2023).

Research notes

  • Note 10:

    What are the levels of in-service teacher knowledge?

    (N. Spaull & P. Courtney, 2022).

  • Note 13:

    The impact of teacher retirements on inclusive education: A dark cloud, or one with a silver lining?

    (N. Deghaye, 2024). Plain text version can be downloaded by clicking here.